Archive for June 2010
June 30, 2010 Video of USA Capitals Relationship to 9/11 and the Gulf Oil Spill by Pastor Gallups
There are no coincidences, this pastor’s video shows the relationship of the 9/11 disaster and the gulf oil spill with the original capitals of the USA and with Britain.
An excellent observation and presentation by a pastor with several important videos of discovery.
http://www.fivedoves.com/letters/june2010/jim630.htm
Jim Bramlett (30 June 2010)
“Pastor Gallups’ new video“
Dear friends:
Pastor Carl Gallups has a fascinating new video just out, sharing a revelation he believes he was given connecting 9-11-01 with the recent Gulf oil spill. It contains some interesting, little-known American history.
Check it out. It is at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=53WnjBS5UWE
Jim
29 de Junio 2010 El Desastre del pozo de petroleo Horizon, informe Ruso
Para los visitantes de habla espanola les estoy incluyendo este articulo sobre el desastre del Golfo.
No se si es verdadero o falso, fue enviado a mi y de la misma manera lo paso a ustedes.
Nando
Lean para que se encrispen los pelos!!!!!!!!
DE SER CIERTO ESTO Y SE LLEGARA A USAR UNA DENOTACIÓN NUCLEAR EN EL GOLFO DE MEXICO PARA SELLAR EL POZO DE PETROLEO, –LO CUAL PUEDE SUCEDER SIN QUE NOS ENTEREMOS ANTES,– PODRIA TRAER CONSECUENCIAS NO PREVISTAS, COMO TERREMOTOS O MAREMOTOS EN LOS PAISES VECINOS…. ENTRE ELLOS, LAS ISLAS DEL CARIBE, QUE PODRIAN QUEDAR BORRADAS DEL MAPA… CONVIENE ESTAR PREPARADOS, PORQUE NO SABEMOS EL DIA NI LA HORA.
Por: Sorcha Faal y como lo informa a sus suscriptores Occidentales
Un preocupante reporte que circula hoy por el Kremlin y que fue preparado para el Primer Ministro Putin de parte de Anatoly Sagalevich del Instituto Shirshov de Oceanología de Rusia advierte que el fondo marino del Golfo de México ha quedado fracturado “irreparablemente” y nuestro planeta debe comenzar a prepararse para un desastre ecológico “más allá de toda comprensión” a menos que se emprendan “medidas extraordinarias” para detener el flujo masivo de petróleo hacia el onceavo cuerpo de agua más grande del mundo.
Lo más importante en observar sobre la advertencia de Sagalevich es que él y sus colegas científicos de la Academia Rusa de Ciencias son los únicos seres humanos que han estado en el sitio del derrame petrolero en el Golfo de México después de haber sido llamados a la escena del desastre de parte de la gigantesca petrolera Británica, la British Petroleum poco después del hundimiento de la plataforma Deepwater Horizon el 22 de abril.
El llamado que hizo la BP a Sagalevich después de que comenzó esta catástrofe se debe a que él tiene el récord mundial de buceo profundo en agua dulce y su experiencia en los dos vehículos de Sumergencia Profunda de Rusia, el MIR 1 y el MIR 2 que tienen la capacidad de llevar a sus tripulaciones a una profundidad de 6,000 metros (19,685 pies).
Según el reporte de Sagalevich, el derrame petrolero hacia el Golfo de México no está saliendo solamente del pozo de 22 pulgadas que muestran los Estadounidenses en la televisión, sino de por lo menos otros 18 sitios sobre el “fondo marino fracturado” siendo el más grande de 11 kilómetros (7 millas) desde donde se hundió la Deepwater Horizon y está vomitando a borbotones estas preciosas aguas con unos 2 millones de galones de petróleo por día.
Es interesante hacer la observación sobre este reporte de Sagalevich señalando que él y otros científicos Rusos fueron requeridos por los Estados Unidos para firmar documentos que les prohibía reportar sus hallazgos a ningún medio ya fuese Estadounidense o de otro país, y que lo tuvieron que hacer para operar de forma legal en aguas territoriales Estadounidenses.
No obstante, Sagalevich dice que él y otros científicos dieron actualizaciones casi por hora tanto al gobierno Estadounidense como a los funcionarios de la BP sobre lo que estaban viendo en el fondo marino, incluyendo al Senador Estadounidense del Estado de Florida, Bill Nelson que después de tal información señaló a la cadena noticiosa MSNBC “Andrea estamos viendo algo nuevo justo ahora, de que hay reportes de que el petróleo está filtrando hacia arriba desde el fondo marino… lo que indicaría, si esto fuese cierto, que la cubierta del pozo está de verdad perforada debajo del fondo marino. Así que, tu sabes, los problemas podrían ser enormes con los que nos estamos enfrentando”.
Aunque no directamente señalado en el reporte de Sagalevich, los hallazgos de los científicos Rusos sobre el verdadero estado del desastre petrolero del Golfo de México están, más allá de toda duda, siendo filtrados a su amigo de mucho tiempo, Matthew Simmons quien fuera el asesor principal sobre energía del ex Presidente George W. Bush, a quien los reportes de los medios Estadounidenses señalan abiertamente: “Matthew Simmons se está apegando a su historia de que hay otro gigantesco derrame en el Golfo de México bombeando tremendas cantidades de petróleo hacia el Golfo. En “Fast Money” de la CNBC, dice que le sorprendería si la BP pudiera pasar de este verano, diciendo que este desastre es culpa completa de la BP”.
Como persona prominente dentro de la industria petrolera y uno de los más destacados expertos del mundo en el pico petrolero, Simmons, señala además que los Estados Unidos tienen una sola opción” dejar que se seque el pozo (lo que tomaría 30 años y arruinaría el océano Atlántico) o detonarlo nuclearmente”.
El gobierno de Obama, por otro lado, ha indicado que no se está discutiendo la opción nuclear para dar fin a esta catástrofe lo que lo pone en conflicto con los expertos Rusos y Estadounidenses que abogan por esta medida extrema antes de que todo esté perdido y como lo informa el diario Británico, The Telegraph:
“La antigua ex Unión Soviética (URSS) utilizó armas nucleares en cinco ocasiones distintas entre 1966 y 1981 para apagar exitosamente pozos de gas y petróleo en la superficie (hubo un solo intento que falló) y que fue documentado por un reporte del Departamento de Energía de los Estados Unidos sobre los usos pacíficos de la URSS de explosiones nucleares.
Rusia está apremiando ahora a los Estados unidos para que considere hacer lo mismo.
El Komsomoloskaya Pravda, el diario Ruso de mayor venta, asegura que aunque se base en la experiencia Soviética, existe una oportunidad en cinco de que el pozo pudiera no sellar , es “una apuesta que los Estadounidenses tendrían que arriesgar”.
Se dice que la URSS desarrolló dispositivos nucleares especiales para cerrar los pozos de gas utilizando la teoría de que la explosión de una detonación nuclear taparía cualquier pozo en un rango de 25 a 30 metros, dependiendo de la potencia del dispositivo. Tanto como lo he imaginado en mi tiempo libre, las explosiones masivas pueden usarse para hacer colapsar un pozo en fuga, tapando así, o al menos contener sustancialmente el flujo de petróleo.
“La detonación nuclear del fondo marino está comenzando a sonar sorprendentemente factible y apropiada” es la cita que se informa dijo el Ingeniero Mecánico de la Universidad de Texas, Michael E. Webber mientras que el investigador visitante sobre política nuclear y ex oficial naval Christopher Brownfield escribió en el Daily Beast. “Ya hubiéramos demolido este pozo con explosivos desde hace un mes. Y todavía vemos con insoportable suspenso mientras la BP va torpemente usando y deschando plan tras plan para recuperar su petróleo y cubrir su propiedad”.
En cuanto a la razón del gobierno de Obama para negarse a considerar el detonar este pozo por medios nucleares, Sagalevich señala en este reporte que la “preocupación principal” de los Estados Unidos no es la catástrofe ambiental que está causando este desastre sino más bien el impacto que el uso de un arma nuclear para detener este derrame tendría sobre la continua producción de petróleo del Golfo de México y que en un mundo hambriento de energía continua siendo la única región productora de petróleo del planeta capaz de aumentar su producción.
Encima de la catástrofe ambiental que está ocurriendo actualmente en el Golfo de México, la situación podría empeorar pues nuevos informes de los Estados Unidos están confirmando sombría predicciones de los científicos Rusos concernientes a los venenos de dispersión de petróleo que está usando la BP y que están siendo recogidos hacia las nubes y cayendo como lluvia tóxica destruyendo a toda las plantas vivas que toca y como lo detallamos en nuestra pieza del 23 de mayo titulado “Las Lluvias Tóxicas del Derrame Petrolero Podrían Destruir a América del Norte”.
El resultado final de esta catástrofe lo ignoramos nosotros, sólo nos queda señalar lo obvio que es la opción que confronta hoy Estados unidos que es o detener este desastre por cualquier otro medio, o pagarlo muy caro después.
Después de todo, ¿vale el petróleo barato el costo de destruir a nuestro propio planeta? La BP seguramente lo cree así, pero esperemos que Obama no.
JUNE 28, 2010 THE SEVEN YEARS OF TRIBULATION
JUNE 28, 2010 THE SEVEN YEARS OF TRIBULATION
The link on this article takes you to 12 videos of about 9 minutes each.
The author explains a lot of very significant concepts involving prophetic interpretation.
It is a very good source of information on the keeping of dates according to God’s time, the Sabbath, the Jubilees, the seventy weeks of Shavuot from the book of Daniel and many other things. There are so many concepts involved that it would be very hard to follow for the person who is not well versed in the Bible. Even for those it is a lot of information, but I recommend saving it to study in detail. His seven years of tribulation may be off by a year as I see it.
The charts in the videos are worth getting if possible from the author.
Nando
http://www.fivedoves.com/letters/june2010/kay628.htm
Kay (28 June 2010)
“Daniels Timeline – Part 1 of 12 – Understanding End Time Prophecy/Tribulation Period –THIS WILL BLOW YOUR SOCKS OFF!“
This is ASTOUNDING!!! Exact dates! Not someone’s theory; all backed by scripture!!!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S1bkB1nShSU&feature=related
Kay
Jim Bramlett (24 June 2010) “EXCLUSIVE! BREAKING! OIL SPILL IN GULF – Hand of God?”
This article by Jim Bramlet has two videos that are very good. One is about the oil disaster being a direct result of the actions against Israel by the US in the UN and the other is an update of a video that is refered here before about Obama.
Nando
http://www.fivedoves.com/letters/june2010/jim624.htm
Jim Bramlett (24 June 2010)
“EXCLUSIVE! BREAKING! OIL SPILL IN GULF – Hand of God?“
Dear friends:
This link was sent to me by the producer, Pastor Carl Gallups, to whom God has given many startling revelations lately, including the name Barack Obama as being mentioned by Jesus in the New Testament.
This latest discovery contains a correlation that seems unmistakable evidence that this oil spill is a judgment from God. Check it out. You will be amazed. This solidly confirms what many believe and have spoken.
See http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tPtaMgqOwL4
Jim
P.S. For the link I referred to in the first paragraph above, see http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sgHUZXgNAWo
Ola Ilori (23 June 2010) “50 – DAY PENTECOST COUNTDOWN STARTS!!!”
I have posted before the article that explains the revised dates for the Feasts of the Lord for Israel. This article uses these revised dates to figure the day of Pentecost.
Nando
http://www.fivedoves.com/letters/june2010/ola623.htm
Ola Ilori (23 June 2010)
“50 – DAY PENTECOST COUNTDOWN STARTS!!!“
Mark Shelley (22 June 2010) “9th of Av Dates and Times (Tisha B’Av)”
This article about the jewish calendar day 9 Av is very good and explains all the things that have happened to Israel and the Jews on the 9 of Av.
I hope Israel’s enemies understand that the God of Israel is again protecting and gathering His people back into their promised land and this is a bad day to plan an evil thing against the nation of Israel. This is a warning to all who plan evil against Israel.
Good post Mark Shelley. I hope your trip out of Iraq goes on as planned.
Nando
http://www.fivedoves.com/letters/june2010/marks622.htm
Mark Shelley (22 June 2010)
“9th of Av Dates and Times (Tisha B’Av)”
Here is a list of dates and time relating to the 9th of Av this year.
I find this particularly relevant for myself as I will be flying out of Baghdad through Dubai to America during this time. To top that off my request date was for one day after the 9th of Av. It makes me wonder if God wants me out a day earlier for a reason. It is rare that the company ticketing office, inexplicably, would give me a free day early out. I leave Dubai about an hour after the start of the “Fast” Jerusalem time and will arrive home shortly before it ends (long flight). I hope there aren’t scorch marks on my plane’s tail feathers when I arrive. Look at the bottom of this page for a list of happenings on this date through time.
9th of AV: (Jerusalem Time)
Israel time –fast starts 19:11 19 Jul(10:36am CST om USA)– fast ends 20:11 20 Jul (11:36am CST om USA)
Dubai time +1 hr until DBX goes off DST then add 2
Baghad – no change until Jerusalem goes off DST then add 1hr
CST – subtract 8 hours
PST - subtract 10 hours
Table from: http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0002072.html
| Year | Purim1 | 1st day Passover2 |
1st day Shavuot3 |
1st day Rosh Hashanah4 |
Yom Kippur5 |
1st day Sukkot6 |
Shemini Atzeret7 |
1st day Hanukkah8 |
| 2001 | March 9 | April 8 | May 28 | Sept. 18 | Sept. 27 | Oct. 2 | Oct. 9 | Dec. 10 |
| 2002 | Feb. 26 | March 28 | May 17 | Sept. 7 | Sept. 16 | Sept. 21 | Sept. 28 | Nov. 30 |
| 2003 | March 18 | April 17 | June 6 | Sept. 27 | Oct. 6 | Oct. 11 | Oct. 18 | Dec. 20 |
| 2004 | March 7 | April 6 | May 26 | Sept. 16 | Sept. 25 | Sept. 30 | Oct. 7 | Dec. 8 |
| 2005 | March 25 | April 24 | June 13 | Oct. 4 | Oct. 13 | Oct. 18 | Oct. 25 | Dec. 26 |
| 2006 | March 14 | April 13 | June 2 | Sept. 23 | Oct. 2 | Oct. 7 | Oct. 14 | Dec. 16 |
| 2007 | March 4 | April 3 | May 23 | Sept. 13 | Sept. 22 | Sept. 27 | Oct. 4 | Dec. 5 |
| 2008 | March 21 | April 20 | June 9 | Sept. 30 | Oct. 9 | Oct. 14 | Oct. 21 | Dec. 22 |
| 2009 | March 10 | April 9 | May 29 | Sept. 19 | Sept. 28 | Oct. 3 | Oct. 10 | Dec. 12 |
| 2010 | Feb. 28 | March 30 | May 19 | Sept. 9 | Sept. 18 | Sept. 23 | Sept. 30 | Dec. 2 |
| 2011 | March 20 | April 19 | June 8 | Sept. 29 | Oct. 8 | Oct. 13 | Oct. 20 | Dec. 21 |
| 2012 | March 8 | April 7 | May 27 | Sept. 17 | Sept. 26 | Oct. 1 | Oct. 8 | Dec. 9 |
| 2013 | Feb. 24 | March 26 | May 15 | Sept. 5 | Sept. 14 | Sept. 19 | Sept. 26 | Nov. 28 |
| 2014 | March 16 | April 15 | June 4 | Sept. 25 | Oct. 4 | Oct. 9 | Oct. 16 | Dec. 17 |
| 2015 | March 5 | April 4 | May 24 | Sept. 14 | Sept. 23 | Sept. 28 | Oct. 5 | Dec. 7 |
Table from: http://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/astronomy.html?n=27&month=7&year=2010&obj=sun&afl=-11&day=1
@ Jerusalem
| Length of day | Solar noon | ||||||
| Date | Sunrise | Sunset | This day | Difference | Time | Altitude | Distance |
| (106 km) | |||||||
| 19 Jul 2010 | 05:46 | 19:44 | 13h 57m 44s | − 1m 04s | 12:45 | 79.0° | 152.017 |
| 20 Jul 2010 | 05:47 | 19:44 | 13h 56m 38s | − 1m 05s | 12:46 | 78.9° | 152.005 |
| 21 Jul 2010 | 05:48 | 19:43 | 13h 55m 30s | − 1m 07s | 12:46 | 78.7° | 151.993 |
moon
| Date | Moonrise | Moonset | Time | Altitude | Distance | Illuminated | Phase |
| (km) | |||||||
| 19 Jul 2010 | 13:29 | - | 18:47 | 36.9° | 381,140 | 63.5% | |
| 20 Jul 2010 | - 14:33 |
00:01 - |
19:41 | 33.8° | 385,648 | 73.7% | |
| 21 Jul 2010 | - 15:34 |
00:45 - |
20:35 | 32.1° | 389,852 | 82.6% |
Table from: http://www.chabad.org/calendar/zmanim.asp?tDate=7/19/2010&c=247
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On the Ninth of Av of the year 2449 from creation (1312 BCE), the generation of Jews who came out of Egypt under Moses’ leadership 16 months earlier were condemned to die in the desert and the entry into the Land of Israel was delayed for 40 years As related in Numbers 14, when the Spies that Moses sent to the Land of Canaan returned with their disheartening report (see “Today in Jewish History” for yesterday, Av 8), the people wept all night — the night of Av 9th — proclaiming that they’d rather return to Egypt than attempt to conquer and settle it; |
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| Holy Temples Destroyed; Birth of Moshiach (423 BCE and 69 CE) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Both the first and second Holy Temples which stood in Jerusalem were destroyed on Av 9: the First Temple by the Babylonians in the year 3338 from creation (423 BCE), and the second by the Romans in 3829 (69 CE). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fall of Betar (133 CE) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Betar, the last stronghold in the heroic Bar Kochba rebellion, fell to the Romans | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Expulsion from England (1290) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| The Jews of England were expelled by King Edward I on this date in 1290 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| The Spanish Expulsion (1492) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| The Jews of Spain were expelled by King Ferdinand and Queen Isabella on the 9th of Av of 1492, | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| The Fast of Tishah B’Av | Less | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mourning the destruction of the Temple and the exile of Israel, (see “Today in Jewish History“) we abstain from eating and drinking, bathing, the wearing of leather footwear, and marital relations–for the night and day of Av 9 (i.e., from sundown on Av 8 to nightfall on Av 9). It is customary to sit on the floor or a low seat until after mid-day. Torah study is restricted to laws of mourning, passages describing the destruction of the Temple, and the like. The tefillin are worn only during the afternoon Minchah prayers. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Excerpt From: http://www.hebroots.org/hebrootsarchive/0108/0108i.html
Christians continued the lamentations of Israel when Pope
Urban II began the First Crusade, and in 1290, where the Jews
were removed from England under King Edward I. In 1492,
the Spanish Inquisition removed Jews from Spain, and in this
same year, the Messianic Jew, Christopher Colombus, sailed
in search of the New World and hopes for the future.
This may be true for those who immigrated to the America’s,
but not so for those throughout many parts of Europe. In 1555,
the Jews were separated and moved into a Roman ghetto, and
in 1914, World War I began which lead to the eventual rise of
Hitler. In 1942, Nazism, World War II, and the Holocaust killed
Polish Jews from the Warsaw Ghetto who were taken by the
Nazis on Tisha B’Av, deported, and numbered among the 800,000
innocent victims exterminated at Treblinka.
In 1990, the Gulf War begins, and Saddam Hussein (a type of
Nimrod/Marduk) raised his fist against Kuwait and the world; and
in a symbolic representation of Marduk and Hadrian’s planetary
deity, the comet Shoemaker-Levy 9, in 1994, smashed 20+
fragments into the planet Jupiter striking the planet with an
estimated energy equivalent of 6,000,000 megatons of TNT.
The resulting explosions created a scattering of fireballs
that left behind huge, dark variations on the planet’s surface
To end this on a happier note:
…the Temple Institute has embarked upon building the mizbeach – the stone altar. On the 9th of Av, 5769, (July 30, 2009)…. The altar, when completed, will stand 2 meters tall, 1 meter long, and 1 meter wide. Much smaller that the altar that stood in the Holy Temple courtyard, it will, nevertheless, fulfill the Torah requirements…. stones were then individually wrapped in heavy plastic and sealed, thus guaranteeing their untainted integrity as they were transported to the community of Mitzpe Yericho, 20 kilometers north-east of Jerusalem….
“Unfortunately, we cannot currently build the altar in its proper place, on the Temple Mount,” Temple Institute director Yehudah Glick explained. “We are building an altar of the minimum possible size so that we will be able to transport it to the Temple when it is rebuilt.”
The altar, when completed, will stand 2 meters tall, 1 meter long, and 1 meter wide. Much smaller that the altar that stood in the Holy Temple courtyard, it will, nevertheless, fulfill the Torah requirements. The rocks collected by the Dead Sea comprise 10 cubic meters and weigh several tons.
http://www.templeinstitute.org/building-an-altar-9th-av-5769.htm
Be Careful
Mark Shelley
June 22, 2010 Horizon The Well from Hell
The article that is posted here is very good in providing the readers with important information.
The perils facing us seem to be bigger than what the press is showing us.
For the part of the design of the containment cap in the article DelValle forensic engineering… the valve at the top of the solution was assumed to exist and to hold the 3,000 + psi of the calculations.
From the article it is known that the maximum shutoff valve pressure is 1,000 psi.
So a different solution is required to stop the flow once the caisson is in place.
The solution is to place a steel plate and 8 one and a half diameter bolts in it and close it with the bolts. See the sketch in the revised drawing.
Nando
http://www.petroleumworld.com/sf10062001.htm
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Mercer (19 June 2010) “Greatest Earthquake in History and the Israel Connection”
In today’s Miami Herald they have an article that mentions Fidel Castro writing a reflection letter against Israel. Castro better take a look at this article and what happened in Chile in the city of Concepcion and their heavy population of Palestinians. Fidel Christ will chastise you strongly for your anti Israel stand.
Nando
http://www.fivedoves.com/letters/june2010/mercer619-2.htm
Mercer (19 June 2010)
“Greatest Earthquake in History and the Israel Connection“
June 20, 2010 DEL VALLE FORENSIC ENGINEERING INVESTIGATION OF THE HORIZON OIL WELL DISASTER AND A SOLUTION TO STOP THE FLOW OF OIL
HORIZON OIL SPILL SOLUTION-REV-06-22-10 Model (1
This report explains the oil disaster in more scientific terms and defines the terms used by the press and TV stations.
Nando
DEL VALLE ENGINEERING, INC.
STRUCTURAL ENGINEERS
MIAMI, FLORIDA
DEL VALLE FORENSIC ENGINEERING INVESTIGATION OF THE HORIZON OIL WELL DISASTER AND A SOLUTION TO STOP THE FLOW OF OIL
June 18, 2010
The media that has covered the “Horizon Deep Oil Well disaster” has issued several statements about the oil pressure encountered in the well. Many times they have made statements that they do not know what the pressure is and that it is something that is beyond our present scope of knowledge. The rate that oil is flowing is also subject to wild numbers.
As a licensed and practicing civil engineer of the State of Florida I must say that this statement is false. The technology to solve this problem is readily available to any engineering firm in the USA that has been involved in the design or construction of extensive infrastructure projects.
To properly understand what the issues are, I am going to engage in something that is called forensic engineering.
The first thing we have to do is to define what pressure is and how pressure is acting at all points in the Horizon well.
Definition
atmospheric pressure noun
n [U] specialized
the force with which the atmosphere presses down on the surface of the Earth
http://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/british/atmospheric-pressure
Expanding on the above definition to the case in point I will expand the above definition to pressures at the oil well outlet at 5,000 feet under the ocean.
The following data is known to the general public and the statement that BP engineers have more accurate data than this is beyond any reasonable doubt.
1 Depth of the oil well outlet is 5,000 feet from the surface of the ocean.
2 Size of the pipe 21” diameter and made of steel
3 Numerous videos shown on TV and the internet of the leaking pipe and the breaks with the oil going out. The connection of the pipe to the Blowout Preventer has also been shown. The video has shown the bottom of the ocean floor.
4 The depth of the reservoir of oil is 30,000 feet below the surface of the ocean.
From the above information I will start my investigation and with the facts uncovered I will design a structure that will close the oil well.
The design of this structure could have been more accurate if I would have had the soil reports at the well site, the details of the blowout preventer and the 21” pipe. Lacking these details I will assume the dimensions and materials that were used.
A) INVESTIGATION
One cubic foot of water weighs = 62.4 pounds
One cubic foot of oil weighs = 51.16 pounds
Pressure at ocean floor:
Pwater at 5,000 feet deep = 62.4 x 5,000 = 312,000 psf = 2,167 psi (pounds per square inch)
Poil at 5,000 feet deep = 51.16 x 5,000 = 255,800 psf = 1,776 psi (pounds per square inch)
When the well was in operation before the platform burned and the 21” pipe collapsed to the ocean floor the system also had the pressure of the reservoir on it. We will call this additional pressure Preservoir.
The pressure inside the pipe at the location of the oil well outlet from the ground = Preservoir + Poil , and outside the pipe we have Pwater . The only unknown is Preservoir and we are going to find out what the maximum value is for this number from the forensic evidence that we have.
We start this investigation by analyzing a similar pipe 21 inches in diameter and with a thickness of ½ inch. We use a pipe made of structural steel A500 Grade C. See http://www.steeltubeinstitute.org/pdf/brochures/producers_capabilities.pdf
for the round steel pipe. From the Manual of Steel Construction of the AISC we obtain the following data.
Fy (minimum yield stress) = 50,000 psi
Fu (minimum tensile stress) = 62,000 psi
These are the highest values for steel stress of round pipes.
If we take this pipe and pressure test a piece about 20 feet long until it breaks we can expect to see a bulging of the walls and a burst or explosion making a hole at some point in the pipe.
This kind of pressure failure is caused by concentric ring stress applied from the inside out. Concentric failure can also occur by crushing in, if the pressure is applied on an empty pipe from the outside.
Another type of pipe failure is bending. If you sit this pipe 20’ long at the ends and apply a concentrated load at the center perpendicular to the pipe this pipe will break at the middle. To illustrate this failure take a straw and hold it at the ends and bend it at the middle and see how it breaks.
This type of failure is the one seen in the videos of the pipe that resulted from the pipe bending from its weight when it fell to the bottom of the ocean just after it lost its anchor at the oil well platform. Think of a building two and a half times taller than the twin towers collapsing on its side.
To further support this assumption let us analyze next the flow of oil shown on the videos of the broken pipe.
Think of a pool that has a filtering system and the outlets that re-circulate the water back in, the flow is defined and laminar and it displaces the water in the pool. If we increase the pressure of the pipe the displacement will reach a longer distance and we would be able to feel the pressure at a farther distance.
What we observe at the break of the pipe videos is the oil diffusing into the water and not shooting out for a big distance before diffusing. This implies that the difference in pressure from the oil inside the pipe to the water outside is not very big.
Now we are going to get a little more technical but I will try my best to explain in terms that you can understand and scientific enough so that other engineers can follow also.
To determine the pressure under which this 20 foot long test pipe would fail we use a technical reference by T.Y. Lin from his book Design of Prestress Concrete Structures Cpyright 1955, 1963 by John Wiley & Sons, Inc. to get an equation of wall tension in a cylindrical structure with pressure applied at the inside.
The formula for circular ring force in cylindrical surfaces is given by a very simple formula:
T = Rp
T = tensile force in a ring section
R = internal radius of pipe
p = internal pressure of pipe
Solving for the unknown p:
p = T / R
We must find T to solve the above equation, and this is easy to do. Let us take a piece of ½” thick pipe, 1” long and figure the cross sectional area. Think of a wedding ring cut in half or see drawing.
Apipe = 0.5 x 1 = 0.5 in2 (square inches)
T = Apipe x Fu = 0.5 x 62,000 = 31,000 # (pounds)
R = 10 inches
So:
p = T / R = 31,000 / 10 = 3,100 psi
With this information we can find the maximum pressure that could have been in this pipe. If the pipe would have failed in a pressure mode there would have been no way of determining the maximum pressure using this procedure due to the fact that any internal pressure above 3,100 psi would have exploded the pipe.
Fortunately that is not the case and we can use this number in the design of our containment caisson. We can also use this number to find the maximum pressure that is in the reservoir of oil.
Now let us understand a little more about pressure inside the pipe. The pipe starts at the reservoir of oil and went up to the surface of the ocean. Each point along this whole length of 35,000 feet has a different pressure. We will start our investigation at the bottom of the well in the bottom of the ocean.
At this point the pipe before the accident had a pressure that was bigger than the pressure outside the pipe and the oil was contained. Now let us do the numbers to find the maximum pressure that the pipe can take at this point. Preservoir is the reservoir pressure at the bottom of the sea.
Preservoir at the bottom of sea + Poil - Pwater = p = 3,100 psi
Preservoir at the bottom of sea = 3,100 – Poil + Pwater = 3,100 – 1,776 + 2,167 = 3,491 psi
Now the maximum pressure inside the reservoir at 30,000 feet below the ocean floor can be found
Preservoir at the bottom of the earth = Poil on earth pipe + Preservoir at the bottom of sea = 30,000 x 51.16 / 144 + 3,491
Preservoir at the bottom of the earth = 10,658 psi + 3,491 psi = 14,149 psi
This value is bigger due to the fact that the oil pressure must overcome friction from the walls of the pipe to get up the whole 30,000 feet, but for our discussion and design this refinement is not needed.
Design of caisson containment structure
With the pipe full of oil above the blowout preventer removed there is a column of oil 5,000 feet high that was replaced with a column of water 5,000 feet high, so let us reduce the pressure by the difference between oil and water pressures.
Preservoir at the bottom of sea = 3,100 – (2,167 – 1,776) = 2,709 psi (no pipe above well, present condition)
It is important to understand that the above number is a maximum based on my forensic engineering site investigation. The actual existing pressure may be a lot smaller. The design is going to be based on this number with a factor of safety of 1.2.
Factor of Safety F.S. = 1.2
Preservoir at the bottom of sea x FS = 2,709 x 1.2 = 3,250 psi
Area of cavity ceiling inside the caisson Aceiling = πR2 = 3.1416 x 6.52 = 133 ft2 = 19,113 in2
Force from oil pressure pushing caisson up = 3,250 x 19,113 = 62,117,250 #
To counteract this force I am using the pressure of the water above the caisson that is pushing down. For this force to act on the caisson the walls of the caisson must be bearing at the ocean floor so that no water or oil pressures are acting there to push up. Find the Area required to accomplish this force balance.
Awp = πR2
Solving for R
R = √ Awp / π = 123 inches = 10.3 ft use 10 ft
A steel plate used at the bottom of the caisson is there to prevent the flow of oil from going out
from the inner chamber of the caisson or water from coming in.
Now if BP was able to place a very small cap to partially reduce the flow of oil the question that begs asking is what kind of pressure is there going out that would allow the cap to be placed on top. Think of a fire hose going full blast and somebody with a cap trying to shut it off.
It is obvious that further forensic engineering is required in this problem. A video of the full length of pipe should be made and then the collapsed pipe taken out and forensically studied.
The same can be said of the burned oil platform. Videos can tell a significant story to trained observers.
As a further safety factor against exceeding pressure the concrete weight of the caisson is 1,465,000 pounds. This weight divided by the surface area of the ceiling inside translates to an additional 77 psi of pressure acting against the oil well. This means that when the design pressure is exceeded by 77 psi the caisson will lift up letting the oil escape relieving the pressure. Think of the pressure cooker in your kitchen and the steel safety valve that starts hissing when the pressure rises.
Randy (19 June 2010) “So…let me get this right about the Gulf Oil coming explosion, tsunami and evacuation of 40 million people….”
As I said in my previous post here is another opinion article about the oil.
http://www.fivedoves.com/letters/june2010/randy619.htm
Randy (19 June 2010)
“So…let me get this right about the Gulf Oil coming explosion, tsunami and evacuation of 40 million people….“
Bet ya dinner in heaven that this is NOT going to happen…….So……per the post about the Coast to Coast radio show……1) Big 15-20 mile gas bubble building up below the surface in the Gulf. . (It’s not rising to the surface like most big bubbles do?)
2) The bubble is going to explode, in the next few weeks or months……..and cause a HUGE tsunami….
3) But before that happens, and the government already knows about this, they are going to evacuate up to 40 million people?? That’s more people than the total population of Florida, Miss, Alabama and La combined!
and
4) This will lead to civil war
and, finally
5) to a Banking collapse….
Somewhere along the way, there has to be a reality check on the information that is passed along…..or at least some comment on the potential VALIDITY of what is really going on.
Consider me that reality check……sorry ……
Still, YFIC,
Randy
ps…I will say this…..throw in ONE MORE BIG catastrophe in the United States…..an earthquake or something else that is HUGE…….and the near-term future economic viability of the United States will fade to zero. THEN, and only then, would the United States leadership in the world fade, to allow the revived Roman Empire (The Euro-zone) to rise to power……and the A/c and the Rapture….and all of that coming true.
Don’t get me wrong the problem in the Gulf is HUGE HUGE HUGE….and I’m not sure how it plays out in the coming few months…..but I don’t see them using nukes, or evacuations, or gas bubble blowouts and tsunamis………